When heart abroad grows Mass 19 days to accept media to interview, express, the method on the problem that Europe and United States concern in processing and Iran is different, to prevent pour oil on the fire of middle east condition, the negotiation of Europe and Iran must be advanced go down. This is near future beauty since Yi relation worsens further, european country phonates with respect to Iranian problem again, in also exposing the Europe that heads with Germany to become plywood of beautiful Yi relation again at the same time " hostage " . |
From political look, european country continues to drop in the position in international politics, the authority that is in middle east area also called a discount. The hard negotiation that Yi nucleus agreement urges next courses to be as long as 13 years directly in Germany is reached finally, ceng Shide country is brought think national diplomacy is accomplished. But the United States exits the direct Europe that make a face. Say Yi nucleus agreement is significant still on European Union mouth, but after actually the United States is exited, each just did not continue to abide by consultative content.
The Three Kingdoms of flower law heart tries to pass establish system of settle accounts of dollar of orgnaization start aside newly, punish of avoid United States, make oneself right Yi commerce legalization, but did not manage any substantial trade up to now, european Central Bank and member country the bank dare provide support to trade to Yi far from. And European acceptance offers total for Iran the aid of 50 million euro also did not reach the designated position completely tardy. To Iran, europe and Germany already were not the associate that deserves reliance and support particularly.
Additional, the United States is dissatisfactory also to European ally. Europe of the appeal after the United States exits Yi nucleus agreement follows him pace, and European ally not only did not exit, still want to build United States of new mechanism steer clear of, this makes the United States rusty. Attack after killing Sulaimanni to act, admire of bitter fleabane of American Wu dear abstruse ally of immediate criticism Europe did not give enough support, "American action saved the life of a lot of people of European actually, and our European ally did not make clear Hunan completely. And our European ally did not make clear Hunan completely..
From economically look, the trade dealings of Europe and Iran still can be affected for a long time by beautiful Yi relation and Iranian security bureau situation. It is with the leading Yang Deguo of the European Union exemple, tradition of dealings of trade of heart Yi classics is actually long, the industrial establishment of nearly 30% comes from Iran Germany, germany or European Union are the biggest to Yi exit country. Ascendant trend of collaboration of trade of classics of Yi of the heart after Yi nucleus agreement was signed 2015 is clear, but after the United States exited Yi nucleus agreement 2018 and restoring punish, pelter of the trading business volume side De Yishuang, loss of heart endowment company billions of euro. And fall in current condition, the economic come-and-go of Europe and Iran restores very hard.
Look from safe angle, although Iran meets those who maintain utmost exercise restraint, the assorted part of a historical period that also does not eliminate a few close Iran sends armed meeting to mix the anger to the United States the Europe in hating impute to crack. After beautiful Yi relation worsens further, the deputy director general before bureau of German federal information Aogusite Hanning thinks, orgnaization of the Judaic establishment on German territory, Israel and American base are become likely raid an object. The probability that whole even Europe suffers assault is increasing. And, if because the foreign army of country of quarter at middle east is new random bureau of round of middle east withdraws, international is turned over " Mohammedan country " allied already achievement also may be affected. That is to say, future no matter " Mohammedan country " horrible organization, the assorted leaf clique that still is a few close Iran arms, assault is launched likely in Europe.
Additional, if Yi nucleus agreement is comprehensive invalidation, be sure to produce chain reaction. All the time since, analytic personage fears Iran embraces a nucleus to will affect the circumjacent country such as Egypt, sand spy, Turkey, cause the nuclear competition between middle east big country even, this constitutes menace to safety of middle east area not only, also can mix to Europe the safe stability of whole world constitutes menace. The refugee tide that chaos caused by war of middle east of prep let alone brings can emerge to Europe once more, let already can'ted bear the European one disaster after another of heavy burden originally.
Hard-earned of Yi nucleus agreement, although it is not to solve middle east the ultimate solution of complex issue, but can become an important basis at least. Below current condition, europe does not have other option, can continue to produce bridge effect only, the minister of foreign affairs before Germany of no less than adds Bulier to suggest in that way, "Explore all possibilities shoulder to shoulderly with Russia, China method, avoid beautiful Yi conflict to continue to upgrade " , such ability are stabilized to middle east and more of safety and world peace hopes.
Although Europe is not a military affairs strong continent, but as an economy, humanitarian continent, want it to be able to be made with the attitude that paddle one's own canoe only accord with pair of European self interest, Yi Zheng that also are helpful for middle east safety and world peace truly plan, prevent beautiful Yi conflict likely to upgrade further. Otherwise if, the chance that Europe loses problem of influence Yi nucleus and improvement possibly to concern to Yi further. (The author is the heart in university of Shanghai foreign language vice director of humanitarian communication research center)